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DTN Midday Grain Comments     02/27 12:10

   Corn, Beans, Wheat Higher at Midday Tuesday

   Corn trade is 2-3 cents higher. Beans are 5-7 cents higher and wheat trade 
is 9-13 cents higher.

David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst


   The U.S. stock market is mixed at midday with the S&P 2 points lower. The 
dollar index is 7 points lower. The interest rate products are firmer. Energies 
have crude .80 higher and natural gas .06 higher. Livestock trade is mixed. 
Precious metals are mixed with gold up $13.


   Corn trade is 2-3 cents higher at midday with trade working to build on the 
reversal from Monday with softer spread action and oversold conditions eased a 
bit with a still substantial short overhanging the market. Ethanol margins 
remain stable with unleaded phasing in spring blends which boosts blender 
margins along with the cheaper corn and natural gas while nearby supplies 
remain ample and limiting to upside.

   The daily wire was quiet for today. Basis has stayed steady as we head 
towards the end of the month and the farmer position is expected to weigh 
further as basis contracts get rolled or priced heading towards first notice 
day with most of that business likely wrapped up by the end of day. Early 
second-crop corn should continue to progress in Brazil with planting pace ahead 
of average. On the March chart, the 20-day at $4.26 is nearby resistance with 
the lower Bollinger Band at $3.96 1/4 just above the $3.95 1/4 fresh low as 


   Soybean trade is 5-7 cents higher with mixed product action so far with 
trade looking to build some momentum from the lower end of the range today with 
early meal strength faltering. Meal is $1 to $2 lower and oil is 90 to 100 
points higher. South American weather should allow for Brazil harvest to keep 
moving along with little in the way of near-term changes for Argentina.

   The daily wire saw 123,000 metric tons of beans sold to unknown. Basis 
should remain flat short term domestically as March goes into delivery. The 
March soybeans have resistance at the 20-day moving average of $11.79. The 
$11.25 1/2 fresh low scored this morning is nearby support with the lower 
Bollinger Band just above that at 11.30.


   Wheat trade is 9-13 cents higher at midday with trade seeing mostly firmer 
spread action while trying to consolidate the stronger start to the week with 
further follow-through needed to get trade excited with the upfront inverses 
persisting. The Plains will see warmer-than-normal temps persist into March 
with a midweek cold snap and better moisture possibilities into mid-month.

   The dollar has shifted sideways with Matif wheat holding just above the 
recent lows with light strength this morning. On the KC March chart, resistance 
is at the 20-day moving average at $5.97 1/2, which we are just below. Support 
is the fresh low at $5.63 with the lower Bollinger Band just below that at 

   David Fiala can be reached at 

   Follow him on X, formerly Twitter, @davidfiala.

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